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March 30, 2007

The Tigers Roar Once More


Ten years after the crash, Asian tigers are roaring with life. The Asian Development Bank in its annual outlook notes that the region – Asia excluding Japan and Australasia – grew at its fastest pace in 11 years in 2006. With a marginally more modest growth forecast of 7.6-7.7 per cent this year and next.

Growth would appear to be on a sounder footing this time round. Asian central banks have accumulated vast foreign reserves to cushion against future crises: developing Asia is sitting on a $2,300bn kitty. The regional current account surplus was a record 5.3 per cent of GDP last year. Fixed exchange rates have mostly been consigned to the history books, with the main exception of China which keeps the renminbi on a tight leash. That has given greater freedom to central bankers, who have largely succeeded in keeping inflation in check – although the battle is far from over in South Asia. See original article

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